$2 million to cross Hormuz? Bigger than Suez, Panama—if it happens

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Iran may charge $2 million per ship to cross Hormuz, JPMorgan says, with potential revenues of $70–90 billion—well above Suez and Panama. But there is no official confirmation on the charge yet.

By CNBCTV18.com April 8, 2026, 11:06:05 AM IST (Published)
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A JPMorgan Chase report says Iran has proposed charging ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with estimates in the analysis putting it at around $2 million per vessel. There is no official confirmation yet that any such toll has been implemented.

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At that price point, JPMorgan’s modelling suggests potential revenues of $70–90 billion annually, placing Hormuz among the world’s leading canal systems.

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Even a limited application, i.e. charging 2,000–3,000 vessels, could yield $4–6 billion.

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For comparison, the Suez Canal generated about $10 billion in 2023, before disruptions reduced revenues to roughly $4 billion in 2024–25.

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The Panama Canal—one of the world’s most important trade arteries—brings in around $5.7 billion annually, still far below JPMorgan’s Hormuz scenario.

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The St. Lawrence Seaway, a key North American trade corridor, generates only about $86 million a year in toll revenues.

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Turkey’s Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles Strait together bring in roughly $227 million annually, underscoring how modest most natural strait revenues are.

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Germany’s Kiel Canal, one of Europe’s busiest artificial waterways, generates just $20–30 million a year.

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According to Dina Esfandiary, an economist at Bloomberg LP, “Iran probably did not expect its Hormuz strategy to be this successful … the lesson Iran has learned from this war is that holding the global economy hostage is cheaper and easier than anticipated.”