President Donald Trump could face a major international embarrassment in the coming weeks over his war with Iran, a political scientist has claimed.
The 79-year-old president sought to cast himself as a peacemaker on Sunday, announcing a “humanitarian gesture” to help guide stranded ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, the key waterway the U.S. has blockaded amid its standoff with Iran.
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Since the conflict began on Feb. 28, hundreds of vessels and around 20,000 seafarers have been stranded in the Persian Gulf after the Strait was effectively shut down, triggering a global oil crisis.
Many ships are reportedly running low on food and other necessities.
Trump described the conflict as a “Middle Eastern dispute” and said the operation-dubbed “Project Freedom”-would “free up people, companies, and countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong,” calling them “victims of circumstance.” He added the effort would show “goodwill” after months of fighting.
But Robert Pape, a professor of political science at the University of Chicago, wrote in a Substack post that Trump “made a public bet” with his decision, which could end in “humiliation in full view of the world” for the president.
“He is betting that Iran will not strike a ship under American protection. If Trump wins the bet, the United States stabilizes the corridor,” Pape wrote.
“If it fails even once, Washington must escalate-or accept humiliation in full view of the world.”
Pape added: “By sending escorts, the United States has made itself directly responsible for keeping the corridor open.
“The moment a U.S.-escorted vessel is hit-by a missile, a drone, or even a proxy-the burden shifts entirely onto Washington. Back down, and every ally sees it. Escalate, and the war widens under worse conditions than at the start.”See Full Details. .
