The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecasted a 4.1 per cent growth for Nigeria in 2026. This is even as global growth remains weak.
In its 2026 World Economic Outlook titled “Global Economy in the Shadow of War” released on Tuesday, the Fund placed Nigeria’s economy ahead of advanced and emerging economies.
The report projects Nigeria’s economy to grow by 4.1 per cent in 2026 and 4.3 per cent in 2027, up from the 4.0 per cent projected in 2025.”
The report noted that geopolitical tensions could worsen even more than they already have—turning the situation into the largest energy crisis in modern times—or domestic political strains could erupt.
“Political stress factors can get entangled with shifts in trade and other international policies. Independently of geopolitical developments, trade-related disputes could flare up,” the report stated.
